Conf = NAIA - Appalachia State = GA
Nickname = Bears Coach = Channing HoytGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.9668427 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Emory & Henry South Atlanti ( 0-16, 65.0) 16-12 210 H Warner NAIA - Sun ( 8-10, 85.5) 10-14 216 H Oglethorpe SAA (10- 7, 73.3) 4-22 221 H Emmanuel (GA) Carolinas (13- 5, 84.6) 2-19 227 A Life NAIA - Sun (11- 5, 93.8) 5-22 306 H Montreat NAIA - Appala ( 7- 8, 85.9) 14-18 314 H St Thomas (FL) NAIA - Sun ( 6- 7, 86.7) 9-18 316 H UHSP NAIA - KCAC ( 7- 7, 81.9) 8-11 324 H Warren Wilson Coast to Coas ( 4- 7, 58.4) 12- 9 327 A Reinhardt NAIA - Appala (17- 1, 99.9) 4-28 403 A Georgetown KY NAIA - Appala ( 6-12, 87.0) 8-18 405 A Cumberlands NAIA - Appala (18- 4, 95.7) 2-24 413 H Tennessee Wesleyan NAIA - Appala ( 3-12, 81.3) 15-19 415 H St Andrews NAIA - Appala ( 1-11, 72.9) 17- 7 418 N Montreat NAIA - Appala ( 7- 8, 85.9) 15-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Emory & Henry 16-12 4 15 n/a 210 H Warner 10-14 -4 -5 1.01 216 H Oglethorpe 4-22 -18 7 n/a 221 H Emmanuel (GA) 2-19 -17 -4 n/a 227 A Life 5-22 -17 -14 0.00 306 H Montreat 14-18 -4 -5 1.48 314 H St Thomas (FL) 9-18 -9 -6 -0.71 316 H UHSP 8-11 -3 -1 -1.52 324 H Warren Wilson 12- 9 3 22 n/a 327 A Reinhardt 4-28 -24 -20 0.00 403 A Georgetown KY 8-18 -10 -7 0.00 405 A Cumberlands 2-24 -22 -16 0.00 413 H Tennessee Wesleyan 15-19 -4 0 - -3.12 415 H St Andrews 17- 7 10 7 0.00 418 N Montreat 15-18 -3 -5 + 2.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 H Tennessee Wesleyan 15-19 -4 0 - -3.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 N Montreat 15-18 -3 -5 + 2.96
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 79.97 Power Rank................. 28 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 63.82 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 23 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4313 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 26 RPI Rating............... .3647 RPI Rank................... 29 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 37 Selection sum ........... 96 Selection Rank ............ 35 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -175. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 41 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -170. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 41 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 17.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 3-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -7.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -22.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -16.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0